Powerball Australia is drawn once a week, 5 balls from 45, and 1 Powerball from 45. There are 55 million combinations possible, so tracking this game is a long process, over years. At 52 draws a year, it is possible you may not see a particular combination hit for a million years!!! Patience is necessary, to wait until a favourable time, where you can narrow down the more likely combinations. One such time just occured.
On Powerball Australia data, the Saliu ANY5 filters got much bigger for nearly 4 months, also VER5 filter hit an outrageous 1258+, indicating a very “narrow” draw was imminent, ie: all numbers to hit from previous 3 to 5 draws!
To understand more, see Lotto analysis and Ion Saliu
On Thursday 10 April 2008, the inevitable arrived, ALL 5 main numbers came from the last 4 draws (from only 17 unique numbers), and nearly all Saliu Filters went MINUS. See chart below:
The best we could hope for Powerball, is a draw where ALL NUMBERS including the powerball, will hit from the previous 3 draws. Too easy to get prizes, or the jackpot in this case, which unfortunately, may occur only once a decade!!! Good luck.
THE TRUTH IS THAT TATTERSALL’S USES 6 DIFFERENT LOTTO MACHINES IN POWERBALL..THE PATTERN IS LIKE THIS E.G. 1/2, 2/3, 3/1, 2/1 ETC, SO IT’S A FALACY TO TRACK THE LOTTO RESULTS DATA PUBLISHED..YOU WOULD NEED TO TRACK EACH MACHINE..IF YOU CONTACT KIM TIERNY, THE VICTORIAN GOV SUPERVISOR AT TATTERSALLS, HE WILL VERIFY THIS FACT..THEY USE DIFFERENT MACHINES IN ALL THE LOTTO GAMES..AND THEY ALTERNATE..YOU CAN OBTAIN A DRAW ROSTER FROM TATTERSALLS..
SO IN ORDER TO USE ANY “SOFTWARE” TO TRACK ANY TATTERSALLS LOTTERY GAME, YOU WOULD NEED TO TRACK EACH MACHINE..AND KNOW WHICH MACHINE IS GOING TO BE USED FOR A PARTICULAR DRAW..
MY TWO CENTS
DENNIS
Hi Dennis, thanks for the truth, it rings sweetly in my ears always.
Any honest scientist or seeker should go for truth.
TATTERSALL’S USES 6 DIFFERENT LOTTO MACHINES IN POWERBALL, so you
reckon its impossible to track lotto/powerball results to derive any
meaningful significance? You would be very correct, if working on the
Roulette BIASED WHEEL method, looking for significantly biased lotto
machines. Machine bias is a powerful method, but has its weakness, for
reasons you understand – they can change the machine on you, the rats.
I prefer to use the methods of Ion Saliu,
and my own developing ideas, gleaned from years of REAL WORLD
observational results, not just academic thinking. It is pointless to
discuss the movement of lotto numbers through time, with anyone who has
discounted the idea as impossible already.
Probability drives the engine of random fields.Its all about how you
choose to view your reality. Numbers can be looked at in an infinite
number of ways. Probability tells us what is normal, for any event with
given variables. Over time (many such events), strange clusterings form
into seeming order (look at evolution). I look for the EXTREMES, the
big variations from the norm, as these events point to other extremes
to occur in future, in order to balance. All EXTREME VARIATIONS in ANY
set of RANDOM events, will always balance to zero, given time (many
events). This is our benchmark.
When playing roulette, you could track one wheel, or you could track a row of
10 wheels, it doesn’t matter, they will all conform to law, and extreme
variations will be lining them up for a more predictable outcome. Just
do the work, you will SEE it happen time after time. Number must
balance to zero.
So in answer to you Dennis, I don’t care if Tattersals use 1000
machines or more, they will ALL CONFORM TO LAWS OF PROBABILITY, and any
EXTREMES will stick out like dogs balls.
G
Prediction:
Tonight’s Powerball draw is very difficult to pick, but I will say this:
We may see 1-2, or NO numbers hit from the previous 3 draws. These numbers are highly UNLIKELY to hit tonight:
8 16 17 21 22 28 30 32 37 40 41 42
Best guess for tonight, well, the following 7 numbers may see some hits soon…
3 5 7 9 20 27 29
its not difficult to predict the MOST PROBABLE if you have “accurate information” an “data” to analyse…:)
my two cents
Firstly Dennis, you say… “i am in contact with the Government supervisors who oversee the draws..”
Can you tell me why Troy Ellis presents only the Powerball Results on Thursday nights, and does NOT show the LIVE draw anymore? Powerball Australia has not shown LIVE draws for 2 months now, whats up?
On the subject of seperate data for each machine, for lotto and powerball draws, I am convinced that a POOL of random numbers works fine, as in the end, its ALL random numbers. We are looking for specific variations or some “order” in the random. I believe that as long as the field size is the same, it matters not how they are drawn. I have seen this in real life too many times.
I have also sent you a private email to the address you provided, for more info.
they dont conduct live draws since 1999 when the lotto machines malfunctioned now since that time they record the draw .and show later on tv
Well now they don’t even show the recorded version of balls dropping, just results. Are they for real?
Critics like to argue that systems are useless because lottery numbers are randomly drawn. But anyone who has actually taken the time to study and analyze the past action of winning Lotto numbers can see that patterns do exist. And biases do occur, which can be used to our advantage when we choose our numbers.
The question is, just how random is the output of mechanical machines that blow ping pong balls around? Not as random as those unenlightened critics like to think they are.
well u are in nsw.. and even here they do the same..but its not live anymore, but recorded..
AS a professional Lottery handicapper i would like to dispel certain misconceptions and myths about lottery theory and prepositions which has been disseminated and circulated by various current and contemporary software programs and books and so called “experts”. The scope of this discussion is also to clarify theoretical positions and philosophies concerning random numbers and concomitant predictions.
The Great Myth of Lottery Theory
The Great Myth of Lottery Theory is, in a nutshell, is along the lines of this:“All numbers of a lottery should, on average, be picked a certain number of times. For example, if there are 48 numbers in a lottery,
each number should be chosen once every 48 times (or 1:48 odds). If this number has not been picked in this timeframe, then it is overdue. Therefore, the odds of this number being picked has increased from the 1:48 odds.”
A corollary to this theory concerns “hot” numbers, viz., numbers which have been picked more often than the statistical average.
This argument may seem reasonable, at first thought. But it is completely invalid. This clever argument is what is known as a logical fallacy, also known as a non-sequitur.
Almost all lottery software programs rely on, and are based on, this fallacy, which can be proved to be invalid through strong inductive, deductive and statistical analysis.
Actually, this argument would be valid if the lottery balls came from a single, non-replenishing pool. For example, suppose there were a barrel of 48 balls, numbered from one to 48. Each lottery drawing chooses six
balls from this pool, but the chosen balls are never returned. Eight drawings of six numbers are pulled from this barrel. For the first drawing, the odds of any single number being drawn is 1:48. But because the balls are
not returned, the odds of drawing a particular number increases (if that number has not already been drawn).
For the second drawing, the odds increase to 1:42. Third drawing, 1:36. And so on until the final drawing
pulls the remaining six numbers from the barrel, when the odds are 1:1, or 100% chance that the remaining six
numbers will be picked.
But that is not how lotteries work. After each drawing, the number pool is reset, back up to the full set.
1 Similarly, roulette replenishes its number set after every draw
The Great Truth of Lottery Theory
True random numbers cannot be predicted. The lottery balls have no memory of which should be pulled, or which is overdue to be pulled. Neither do the lottery machines. Similarly, in the casino game of roulette, you
can, for example, have black numbers hit eight times in a row. The odds of the next number in the series being red is still, and always, 50% (even though the odds of having a run of nine black numbers in a row is 29, or
1:512).2 For simplicity, we are disregarding the one (European) or two (American) green (vigorish) numbers.
The truth is that mechanical methods of lottery drawings are not truly random.
They are very close to random, but not perfectly random. Even with lottery officials’ attempts to make the drawings random, some weighted influence can alter the randomness. For example, does the weight of
the ink on the balls have an effect? After all, the number “38” has over eight times the weight of ink than “1”.
Some balls have more ink than others, so there must be a weight variance. Are the balls of exactly the same
thickness? Certainly not; plastic manufacturers generally cannot keep tolerances tighter than ±0.005″ (±0.127
mm). Different thicknesses mean different weights. Although the weight differences are small, they still could
(and probably do) effect whether some balls get picked more often than others.
Some countries use wheels, instead of balls, to select the winning numbers. Are the wheels in perfect balance?
Is the wheel spun with exactly the same torque? At the exact same starting position? The answer is, of course,“no”.
For one who wants to win the lottery, the challenge is in finding these subtle non-random influences.
A popular Academy-award winning movie, “A Beautiful Mind” (which was based on the book of the same name), exemplifies this concept: the Nobel Laureate and mathematician John Nash had the uncanny ability to
see patterns in encrypted messages that were, for all practical purposes, “invisible” to the ordinary person.
His abilities were, indeed, an anomaly. Very few people have this skill. Computers, on the other hand, are uniquely adapted to this type of task, given their extraordinary speed of computation and extrapolation.
To illustrate my point. in Keno that’s drawn daily in Victoria they use two machines each with its own set of keno balls and alternate the machines every draw..so in reality, we are playing two different 20/80 Keno games..let look at two draws just to see the reality..if we are tracking each individual machine
Keno Machine 1:
Tatts Keno Draw No: 7067
Draw Date:02.04.08
02-04-11-12-16-22-23-26-29-35-38-39-57-61-62-64-66-70-77-78
Tatts Keno Draw No: 7069
Draw Date: 30.04.08
04-12-14-16-18-20-22-25-28-33-36-37-38-49-54-61-70-76-79-80
Game 7069 had:
10 Adjacent Numbers Drawn from the previous draw.
07 Repeat Numbers Drawn from the previous draw.
06 ODD Numbers and 14 EVEN NUMBERS DRAWN
13 Numbers Drawn in the lower half eg low 1-40 hi 41-80
Neigboring Pairs Hit 1 time: 11-12, 22-23, 36-37, 38-39, 61-62, 77-78, 79-80
Neigboring Triads Hit 1 time 36-37-38
now imagine thousands of draws, the percentages u would see..
Let’s take another example Wed Tattslotto 6/40 + 2 Bonus
They use two machines each with its own set of LOTTO balls and alternate the machines every draw..so in reality, we are playing two different6/40 + 2 BONUS LOTTO games..let look at two draws just to see the reality..if we are tracking each individual machine
428,20080409,40,02,25,09,12,05,11,18
430,20080423,11,26,04,24,20,06,30,18
Game 430 had: 6 Adjacent numbers drawn from the previous draw
Game 430 had: 2 repeat Numbers drawn from the previous draw
Even though numbers are Randomly Drawn, they form patterns that are to a certain extent predictable.
Wednesday, 14 April 2004
The new Monday and Wednesday Lotto game goes on sale on 15 April, with players waiting for The Big One to drop now having the incentive of an additional $30 million in Divisional prizes.
Lotto has undergone its biggest changes since the game was introduced in 1979, including a new ‘Cash Rolldown’ concept set to make many more Lotto players’ dreams come true.
NSW Lotteries is the first lottery operator in Australia to implement a ‘Cash Rolldown’ concept, which will see double the normal payouts for winners in Divisions Two to Five when there is no First Division winner.
The changes will also reward the vast majority of Lotto winners by offering set dividends in Division Four and Division Five, guaranteeing players a $20 prize in Division Four and a $10 prize in Division Five every week.
“The benefits for players do not end here,” said John Vineburg, NSW Lotteries Communications Manager. “The addition of the 45th ball brings Monday, Wednesday and Saturday games into line, which means players can enter their favourite numbers in all three draws by using a single entry form”.
Mr Vineburg said as a result of these changes, the odds of winning Division 1 in a single draw with the most popular 14-game entry were 504,218 to 1 and will be 581,790 to 1* and there would be a small price rise of 5 cents per game.
“The price of Lotto hasn’t changed since it was launched at 25 cents a game back in 1979. In those days, that was enough to buy a newspaper or a cup of coffee and still have change. By keeping the increase as small as possible we can fund the extra prizes while maintaining Lotto’s affordability as the cheapest lottery game.”
Mr Vineburg added that extensive research involving more than 1500 players had revealed that players believed the slight increase in odds and price were a fair trade-off for these new benefits, particularly as the price had remained unchanged since 1979. “The prize return for Lotto players is one of highest paid by any lottery in the world, and dollar for dollar, it will remain just as high after the Lotto game changes,” he said.
Other changes to Lotto include a two-week Multiweek option so players can now play Monday, Wednesday and Saturday Lotto for 2, 5, 10, 25 or 50 weeks. This feature will benefit those players who can’t get to their local agent every week but don’t want to risk missing out on having a ticket in the draw when their numbers come up.
The new Monday and Wednesday Lotto televsion draw on Channel 9 will also have a brand new look with a new set and a new ball drawing machine to debut on the first draw after the changes on 19 April.
*Changed on 21 April to clarify odds.
San Francisco Chronicle – 13 February 2002 “Take the fortune in your bank account. Buy 41,416,353 Super Lotto Plus tickets, one for every possible combination. Then, no matter the winning number, you win. Sound impossible? It’s been tried before. In 1992, a group of Australian investors — led by math whiz Stefan Mandel — decided they could literally buy the $27 million jackpot in the Virginia state lottery.”
Holding the winning ticket, the Australians walked away with
$27 million.
Lotto as it has been played since it’s inception is a thing of the past in Australia!
“Is OzLotto, whether you play it in Victoria or at any other state lottery other than Victoria is still the Lotto you have always played. That is, a game that is actually a CONTINUOUS, never-ending SERIES of games involving 7 numbers chosen at random from the 45 numbers available.”
For the uninitiated, the player tries to guess what numbers will come up in each game. Players can pick from 7 numbers hoping to match the numbers drawn. Players try different strategies: they ‘chase’ the numbers, betting the numbers that haven’t been hit recently, or they just ‘wait’ for the numbers to come to them. Some people play birthdays or other ‘lucky’ numbers, some let the computer pick random numbers. One of the most popular plays is to pick a whole column or row.
All any of us can really be sure of is that the areas that are being ‘ignored’ will eventually catch up and get hit more heavily and vice-versa. Combinations that haven’t come in, will come in -sometimes sooner, sometimes later. This is the way Lotto has always been and it has been more than enough of a challenge for gamblers since it first appeared on the scene. In fact, everywhere it is played it is a HOUSE favorite for that very reason! It makes a lot of money for the House just the way it is…BUT apparently that wasn’t good enough for the folks at Tattersalls!
Lotto games in Victoria is no longer a single, continuous game, it is in reality TWO SEPARATE GAMES OF Lotto, randomly alternated!! In the beginning they used One Machine and one set of Lotto Balls. The first live televised Tattersall’s Tattslotto draw occurred on June 22, 1972. Now a household institution, Australian Tattslotto today offers a Division One prize pool averaging more than $3 million – a far cry from the top prize of $50,000 when it began in 1972.
Since the early days of Tattslotto, Superdraws have skyrocketed the First Division prize pools to figures well over $20 million.
The Days of One Random Number Generator
At one time just like the rest of the Lotto world, Tattersalls used one random number generator for it’s Lotto game. In those days, their Lotto was just like Lotto everywhere else.
It is important to know that there is a big difference between hitting 6 out of 6 and hitting 5 out of 6.
They don’t want us to know..they don’t want the normal continuity that has been inherent in Lotto since it began!
Lotto in Australia is no longer a single, continuous game, it is in reality TWO SEPARATE GAMES OF LOTTO, randomly alternated!!
Dennis, I have trimmed your numerous recent comments into one relevant comment. I get the gist of your approach, but remain confused regarding your motives and what you hope to accomplish. Worse still, I am beginning to suspect you as a Government stooge/lackey determined to bog my site down with repetitive misleading crap.
As mentioned previously, I am quite happy with Saliu’s approach, and remain unconvinced of any other. If you wish to progress with me further in a meaningful way, its time to put up or shut up. Can you demonstrate in a practical way the value of your ideas, or are you just an armchair analyst/dreamer?
Generate some Number picks for upcoming Lotto or Powerball draws and I will post them here as an article, under any pseudonym you like.
G
Private conversations ensued, with this commenter Dennis Calafati, who proved to be a foul mouthed mean and cruel spammer, determined to prove the work of Ion Saliu was rubbish, all he proved was his lack of understanding.
G Network recommends avoiding this person, who is about to have his details passed on to relevant internet blacklists, and his email/internet providers notified accordingly, should he choose to continue his silly attacks on G Network.
I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I don’t know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.
Betty
Hi everyone,
I’ve just enjoyed reading the above comments.
I will look into the work of Ion Saliu, however, one thing that I was curious about, does anyone know who manufactures the Victorian tattslotto machines & balls, and how often they replenish the old balls and the two machines ?
Just a variable factor I’m interested in.
If anyone could help out with some true facts, or provide me with a contact to call to ask, I would really appreciate it.
Thanks heaps
Mary