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Epsom Handicap 3YO+ Group1 1600m

A huge field with many good chances, there is one classy runner finding his peak, and worthy of a bet, Mentality. Mentality, has been running well and looks the goods, down in weight, and should finish off strongly. Other good chances are Theseo, a big down in weight, but may find the wide barrier a disadvantage, and at huge odds Spy Zaim($51W) may make an appearance.

G Network Racing Selection – Epsom Handicap 2008
MENTALITY
TAB NSW FIXED ODDS $9.00Win $3.00Place

Selections Keys

• G Network: Selection
• Race: Randwick Epsom Handicap
• Time: 4.00pm
• Code: SR08
• Track: Randwick
• Cond: Good Slow
• Dist: 1600m
• Number: 2
• Horse: MENTALITY
• Jockey: RM Quinn
• GV:8
• Posn:?
• Tote: TAB NSW FIXED ODDS
• $Win: 9.00
• $Plc: 3.00
• Invest-w-p: -2-10
• Return:0

Turnbull Stakes 4YO+ 2000m

Another runner worthy of a bet is Pompeii Ruler. This horse has proven time and again in these conditions, is running at his peak of fitness, and has won 3 from 3 races at Flemington. Pompeii Ruler could embarass this lot if he runs to his best form, very hard to beat. Weekend Hussler the odds on favourite, starts from a wide barrier, has yet to run this distance, but was staying just in front of Pompeii Ruler last start, in the Caulfield Underwood Stakes 1800m. I’ve a feeling the last 200m of this race may tell another story. Other chances Zarita($26W), Efficient($35W), and Zipping($61W) all represent excellent value, and all have a decent chance at upsetting favourite backers in the Turnbull Stakes.

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Some really nice, advanced, mathematical analysis principles and software are available FREE from Ion Saliu.

Zipping looks the excellent value in the Turnbull Stakes, has the class and the guts to beat this lot, El Segundo, Marasco, and all. This 6 year old gelding, with excellent breeding DANEHILL(USA) – SOCIAL SCENE(IRE) has shown some real gutsy runs these conditions – ran 4th in the Melbourne Cup 2006, and won the 2006 Moonee Valley Cup.

Zipping has had one run back after a spell – ran on well for 3rd to Marasco and Apache Cat in the Makybe Diva Stakes 1600m on September 8. Has a lot more to offer over 2000m and will prove invincible on a DEAD track.
If the Flemington track surface ends up rated GOOD, he may get beat, and just place, but a DEAD track will be another story.

Today’s G Network Racing Selection:
ZIPPING
TAB NSW FIXED ODDS $17.00Win $4.55Place

Selections Keys

• G Network: Selection
• Race: Flemington Turnbull Stakes
• Time: 4.25pm
• Code: MR08
• Track: Flemington
• Cond: Good (upgraded from Dead)
• Dist: 2000m
• Number: 8
• Horse: ZIPPING
• Jockey: D Nikolic
• GV:8
• Posn:5
• Tote: TAB NSW FIXED ODDS
• $Win: 17.00
• $Plc: 4.55
• Invest-w-p: -2-10
• Return:0

Saturday’s racing looks a mixed bag, with a few half decent races at Moonee Valley, late afternoon. There will probably be a couple of big multiples pays for the day, and many favoured runners placing. A few showers in Melbourne today, will probably make for a DEAD track rating. Top picks for Saturday are included here, so you may include them in your bets as you choose.

TOP PICKS for Saturday 15 September 2007

Moonee Valley Race 6

Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes – 1600m WFA – 3.20pm

• 6. MAYBE BETTER – classy young runner, starts to get going this distance, 100% place in the wet D,S,H, loves Moonee Valley – 3rd place Melbourne Cup 2006
• 1. LAD OF THE MANOR – mature, class runner that loves this distance and a soft track, likes Moonee Valley
• 3. EL SEGUNDO – all conditions suit, very consistent

Moonee Valley Race 7

Cleanevent Manikato Stakes – 1200m WFA – 4.00pm

• 9. GOLD EDITION – absolute champion this distance, Dead track 100% Win strike rate.
• 10. UNIVERSAL QUEEN – nice 1200 metre runs, close up challenger

Moonee Valley Race 8

Independent Cranes Stakes – 1600m 4yo+Mares WFA – 4.40pm

• 11. DEVIL MOON – good times through this range of distance, not proven
• 8. ZILZIE – found form first up, 2nd to Shadow in the Coffex Cup 1400m September 1, came out with more in the tank, go well 1600m
• 15. ZINGARA – goes well this distance, long shot chance SCRATCHED

Moonee Valley Race 9

Curran Chemicals Handicap – Open Handicap 1509m – 5.15pm

• 13. GUNFIRE MESSIAH – Won convincingly last 2 starts, sired by Bite The Bullet, they love this distance range, Dead track will make invincible run
• 18. CLASSIC DE LAGO – putting in some good runs and times lately, by Encosta De Lago, they love this distance range and Dead track, nice placer SCRATCHED
  

Some runners in Sydney and Melbourne stand out in their fields, and look to make some convincing runs. Most of the following should win or place.

Top Picks – Sydney/Melbourne:

Rosehill Race 2 – 1.45pm
6. Mind The Step

Rosehill Race 6 – 4.25pm
7. Sumac

Caulfield Race 2 – 1.25pm
7. La Chasseuse

Caulfield Race 5 – 3.25pm
6. Cocinero
5. Ra Sun

Caulfield Race 6 – 4.05pm
5. Benedetti
8. Blue Collar Jack
4. Forest Spy

Caulfield Race 8 – 5.25pm
10. So Decisive
6. Hoffmeister

Enthusiast is the Racing Selection in Doomben.

This 7 year old gelding by Flying Spur, is down in weight, ridden by top performing jockey S Scriven, and comes from barrier 1. Recent rides were from wide barriers, and he still got across to run at the front every race.

Has put in consistently good times, and will probably get straight out to the front and lead all the way. Challenges may come from Starlactic and Impaler, and look for the late lunge by Hard to Catch.

The favourite Natural Destiny may be in this, but has not proven convincingly in these conditions, may place.

Selections Keys

• G Network: Selection
• Race: Doomben Summer Stakes
• Time: 5.15pm
• Code: BR07
• Track: Doomben
• Cond: Good
• Dist: 1200m
• Number: 6
• Horse: ENTHUSIAST
• Jockey: S Scriven
• GV: 9
• Posn: 4
• Tote: NSW Fixed odds
• $Win: 13.00
• $Plc: 4.00
• Invest-w-p: -2-10
• Return: 0

The movement of the Saliu Filters point to a drop in the ANY 6, soon. This means all 6 numbers will be derived from only a few recent draws, 4-7 draws! This gives quite an advantage over odds as the possible field of played numbers could be 20 or less.

With a little luck, all numbers could also swing back to SMALL, all under 33, which could reduce the possible numbers down to 10-15 numbers, quite a leverage over lady luck!! For example, with 14 numbers played, scrambled by a Saliu wheeling, full coverage may be achieved for guaranteed 5 out of 6, with only 22 games played!!!

For a total cost of around $11.00 including Double Up, with all 6 hits in our 14, we could expect around $1,000.00 return, guaranteed!

It is far better to narrow down the field, and spend less, as the day those few criteria are correct, is the day of a nice payout. The trick with lotto over the long term, is to minimize play and spending, and to have a good go when conditions are advantageous.
With high variation in numbers, following above criteria, we can reduce down to 22 numbers today:

1 3 4 6 8 10 11 12 14 17 19 20 21 22 23 24 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33

20 numbers wheeled, would give a guaranteed 5 out of 6 with 121 games played. 2 numbers would need be excluded.

If conditions were very advantageous, wheeling would be the go. As some doubt still exists, optimized games are better, and will save a few dollars.

18 games standard, Cost $10.00.

1. 1 6 21 28 29 33
2. 1 3 6 12 21 33
3. 1 6 7 10 12 26
4. 9 12 21 28 29 32
5. 2 8 14 17 22 32
6. 6 8 12 22 32 33
7. 6 11 12 23 26 27
8. 3 12 27 29 31 32
9. 3 12 20 22 27 30
10. 12 21 29 31 32 33
11. 1 6 21 29 32 33
12. 21 22 24 28 29 32
13. 8 14 17 22 23 32
14. 8 17 20 26 27 30
15. 4 19 22 23 26 28
16. 4 21 23 26 28 29
17. 11 17 19 23 27 28
18. 1 11 21 24 28 29

Standout runner Anwaar looks the goods, a 5 year old gelding by Secret Savings, has put in some good times, is always there, and comes home strongly to 1400 metres. Nice weight 52.5kg, barrier 6 with jockey S Baster aboard, Anwaar seems very well placed in this and will be hard to beat in the home stretch.

Virtually a guaranteed place, currently at NSW Fixed odds $18.00Win $5.25Place, looks like easy money.

Only one G Network Racing Selection, Anwaar.

Selections Keys

• G Network: Selection
• Race: Sandown Stakes
• Time: 4.50pm
• Code: MR08
• Track: Sandown
• Cond: Good
• Dist: 1400m
• Number: 10
• Horse: Anwaar
• Jockey: S Baster
• GV: 9
• Posn: 2
• Tote: NSW Fixed odds
• $Win: 18.00
• $Plc: 5.25
• Invest-w-p: -2-10
• Return: +52.50

Coming off his recent win in the SAAB Quality on Victoria Derby day, with a nice time 2:35.86 for the 2500m on DEAD track, down 7kg today, looks the goods with a nice sustained run home. Some punters took the amazing $71.00 on offer last week (until Friday) with bookies or Futures Fixed odds, this runner was included here on Victoria Derby day under: Other runners to watch

There are a few good chances to feature today in the race that stops the nation. Zipping and Tawqeet are pretty amazing horses and could easily show. Efficient is a phenomenal 3 year old that could re-write the record books SCRATCHED.

Look for a bold showing from Mandela with jockey Craig Williams on fire at the moment. The old runner and huge longshot Mahtoum may find form today in its first chance at right conditions.
Top chances:

• Maybe Better
• Zipping
• Tawqeet
• Efficient Scratched
• Mandela
• Mahtoum

VIDEO: Melbourne Cup 2006